Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.677371 14.550239 16.553475 18.849768 21.403199 24.149362 27.320001
2025-08-03 9.706831 12.153133 14.954204 18.376757 22.422434 27.028292 32.643021
2025-08-10 7.921764 10.613764 13.861835 18.025354 23.172492 29.276625 37.007890
2025-08-17 6.620015 9.412420 12.937911 17.644819 23.685470 31.093489 40.770968
2025-08-24 5.633066 8.456619 12.170845 17.312843 24.131881 32.740470 44.287411
2025-08-31 4.769408 7.545019 11.341980 16.780608 24.215427 33.853586 47.094279
2025-09-07 4.259018 7.058849 11.023381 16.872563 25.079715 35.961156 51.213218
2025-09-14 3.805814 6.598253 10.685225 16.886262 25.801822 37.871450 55.104108
2025-09-21 3.464181 6.264700 10.491311 17.071148 26.743118 40.084690 59.450072
2025-09-28 3.120323 5.886693 10.191257 17.063974 27.386640 41.886064 63.267456
2025-10-05 2.919191 5.717829 10.191258 17.492544 28.664860 44.603042 68.424386
2025-10-12 2.712604 5.515920 10.117753 17.792551 29.750900 47.067960 73.286747
2025-10-19 2.485982 5.258861 9.939458 17.922378 30.594482 49.228078 77.812672
2025-10-26 2.178344 4.820388 9.422950 17.471814 30.514855 50.019420 80.372345
2025-11-02 1.927000 4.456083 8.998443 17.134851 30.580374 51.008081 83.227293
2025-11-09 1.700844 4.112292 8.578063 16.769950 30.570260 51.864012 85.889720
2025-11-16 1.507332 3.809360 8.203009 16.451659 30.608321 52.778509 88.647648
2025-11-23 1.311187 3.474801 7.738757 15.941457 30.294611 53.120346 90.525303
2025-11-30 1.208217 3.328534 7.616993 16.029597 30.978481 55.041710 94.872804
2025-12-07 1.106528 3.172021 7.461271 16.042728 31.528412 56.758343 98.938329
2025-12-14 1.031187 3.066890 7.397988 16.219955 32.363061 58.951172 103.799887
2025-12-21 0.944473 2.923044 7.243450 16.213077 32.869795 60.618592 107.863949
2025-12-28 0.903041 2.885856 7.306447 16.623946 34.128608 63.552152 114.015626